Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 53.96

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±0

9971Off-Season Demo Team 9971

Season APEX -Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9970Off-Season Demo Team 9970

Season APEX -Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9972Off-Season Demo Team 9972

Season APEX -Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.3 ±43.5

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 4.74Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7583Embers

Provisional

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 22.04Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 27.18Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9971, 9970, 9972

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9971, 9970, 9972

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7128, 7583, 9976

/ 100 compat

Projected

54 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7128, 7583, 9976

Auto

12.9 25%

Teleop

26.7 52%

Endgame

12.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score54pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54
Score range: -18–72
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 101.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX115.3

0Auto12.9

0Teleop26.7

0Endgame12.1

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	1
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	0	1

Result

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts