Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

152.69 – 51.6

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 101.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 32.1 ±57.6

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 32.48Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 108.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.38Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±0

9971Off-Season Demo Team 9971

Season APEX -Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9970Off-Season Demo Team 9970

Season APEX -Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9972Off-Season Demo Team 9972

Season APEX -Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9147, 9986, 9998

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9147, 9986, 9998

Auto

21.9 15%

Teleop

79.2 54%

Endgame

46.4 31%

Strengths

· 9986 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9971, 9970, 9972

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9971, 9970, 9972

Auto

15.5 30%

Teleop

25.8 50%

Endgame

10.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score152.7pts

Blue projected score51.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.1
Score range: 33–172
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 103.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

32.1Season APEX0

21.9Auto-

79.2Teleop-

46.4Endgame-

26Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	1	0

Result

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 101.6 pts