Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.86 – 112.39

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.1 ±17.5

5648Melbourne RoboCats 5648

Season APEX 16.8Event APEX 22.22Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 97.58Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 9.4Event APEX 19.12Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 56.5 ±57.3

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.18Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 57.91Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 50.32Rank 12Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5648, 10002, 5876

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5648, 10002, 5876

Auto

26.3 19%

Teleop

70.9 53%

Endgame

37.8 28%

Strengths

· 10002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9995, 6996, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 6996, 9993

Auto

23.9 23%

Teleop

49.8 48%

Endgame

30.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score138.9pts

Blue projected score117.4pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.5
Score range: 94–153
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 102.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

101.1Season APEX56.5

26.3Auto23.9

70.9Teleop49.8

37.8Endgame30.5

12Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	18
teleop	89	30
endgame	39	32
foul	0	30
total	161	110

Result

Final score

161 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable