Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
146.69 – 57.6
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
152 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 9.9 ±57.6
Season APEX 9.9Event APEX 31.52Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 0Event APEX 106.23Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.07Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.63Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.88Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.1Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9147, 9986, 9980
79
/ 100 compatProjected
150.8 pts
~2.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9147, 9986, 9980
Auto
21.2 15%
Teleop
75.4 52%
Endgame
47.3 33%
Strengths
- · 9986 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9992, 9996, 9991
39
/ 100 compatProjected
52.6 pts
~0.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9992, 9996, 9991
Auto
19.8 37%
Teleop
22.5 42%
Endgame
10.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score150.8pts
Blue projected score52.6pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample118alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 89.1
- Score range
- 40–165
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-25
- Model
- apex-0.5.1
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
9.9Season APEX0
21.2Auto19.8
75.4Teleop22.5
47.3Endgame10.9
1Consistency16
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 11 |
| teleop | 83 | 19 |
| endgame | 56 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 152 | 44 |
Result
Final score
152 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable