Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.86 – 33.94

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

65 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 84.5 ±19.7

10552Mazenod Machinists

Season APEX 28.2Event APEX 28.5Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11130Totally Clucked Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 21.94Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7583Embers

Provisional

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX 21.65Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 7 ±57.8

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX 1.83Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.94Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.3Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10552, 11130, 7583

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10552, 11130, 7583

Auto

15.3 23%

Teleop

43.2 64%

Endgame

8.8 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7128, 9995, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7128, 9995, 9991

Auto

12.2 59%

Teleop

2.1 10%

Endgame

6.4 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.6 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score72.1pts

Blue projected score20.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.9
Score range: 16–96
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 105 vs event baseline 102.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

84.5Season APEX7

15.3Auto12.2

43.2Teleop2.1

8.8Endgame6.4

13Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	15
teleop	28	8
endgame	18	17
foul	0	0
total	65	40

Result

Final score

65 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable