Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

136.38 – 101.02

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 88.1 ±18.1

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 9.9Event APEX 36.75Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 95.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9189Disastrous Data

Provisional

Season APEX 3.3Event APEX 8.7Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 74.5 ±42.7

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 65.06Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.66Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 18Event APEX 6.17Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9147, 10002, 9189

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.4 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9147, 10002, 9189

Auto

24.9 19%

Teleop

73.9 55%

Endgame

34.8 26%

Strengths

· 10002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6996, 9992, 10437

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.9 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6996, 9992, 10437

Auto

24.6 26%

Teleop

40.9 43%

Endgame

29.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score141.4pts

Blue projected score102.9pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.4
Score range: 82–155
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 102.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

88.1Season APEX74.5

24.9Auto24.6

73.9Teleop40.9

34.8Endgame29.9

23Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	34
teleop	88	9
endgame	12	27
foul	0	0
total	122	70

Result

Final score

122 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable