Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

225.77 – 57.31

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

405 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 130 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.2 ±15.7

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 96.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 157.8Event APEX 114.53Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 70.86Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 26.8 ±57.8

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.78Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11130Totally Clucked Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 12Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 44.52Rank 12Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10002, 5584, 6996

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10002, 5584, 6996

Auto

49.1 18%

Teleop

156.9 57%

Endgame

69.6 25%

Strengths

· 5584 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 11130, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.3 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 11130, 9993

Auto

10.9 21%

Teleop

29.4 56%

Endgame

12.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score281.4pts

Blue projected score59.3pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.5
Score range: 39–244
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 99.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.2Season APEX26.8

49.1Auto10.9

156.9Teleop29.4

69.6Endgame12.6

76Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	16
teleop	257	113
endgame	82	4
foul	10	5
total	405	138

Result

Final score

405 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 130 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable