Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61 – 56.51

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

78 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 33.2 ±43.5

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX 2.65Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.79Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9146Burnouts

Provisional

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 26.96Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 12.7 ±43.2

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 9.4Event APEX 21.64Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9189Disastrous Data

Provisional

Season APEX 3.3Event APEX 8.1Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.43Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7128, 9976, 9146

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7128, 9976, 9146

Auto

7.0 14%

Teleop

23.8 48%

Endgame

18.5 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5876, 9189, 9980

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.2 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5876, 9189, 9980

Auto

16.6 38%

Teleop

11.4 26%

Endgame

15.8 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score50.4pts

Blue projected score45.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.5
Score range: 39–79
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 100.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

33.2Season APEX12.7

7Auto16.6

23.8Teleop11.4

18.5Endgame15.8

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	14
teleop	30	24
endgame	29	4
foul	0	5
total	78	47

Result

Final score

78 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable