Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.03 – 112.77

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

154 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 103.1 ±42

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.59Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10552Mazenod Machinists

Season APEX 28.2Event APEX 19.87Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 97.54Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 66.4 ±42.4

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 71.83Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.56Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 9.9Event APEX 35.38Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9976, 10552, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

138 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9976, 10552, 10002

Auto

19.5 15%

Teleop

84.7 63%

Endgame

29.3 22%

Strengths

· 10002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6996, 9996, 9147

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.8 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6996, 9996, 9147

Auto

25.6 22%

Teleop

52.5 45%

Endgame

37.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score138pts

Blue projected score117.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.3
Score range: 95–147
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 98.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

103.1Season APEX66.4

19.5Auto25.6

84.7Teleop52.5

29.3Endgame37.6

0Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	44
teleop	94	54
endgame	38	35
foul	5	0
total	154	133

Result

Final score

154 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable