Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
54 – 52.78
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
32 – 92
Prediction missed · off by 30.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 26.8 ±57.8
Season APEX 0Event APEX 20Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
11130Totally Clucked Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 15.02Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.94Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 47.5 ±43.5
10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)
Provisional
Season APEX 18Event APEX 9.21Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
7583Embers
Provisional
Season APEX 29.5Event APEX 23.07Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.68Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9980, 11130, 9998
38
/ 100 compatProjected
41 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9980, 11130, 9998
Auto
13.6 34%
Teleop
18.3 46%
Endgame
7.6 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10437, 7583, 9995
26
/ 100 compatProjected
40 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10437, 7583, 9995
Auto
13.3 36%
Teleop
7.5 20%
Endgame
16.0 43%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score41pts
Blue projected score40pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample118alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 1.2
- Score range
- 35–72
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-25
- Model
- apex-0.5.1
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
26.8Season APEX47.5
13.6Auto13.3
18.3Teleop7.5
7.6Endgame16
37Consistency8
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 20 |
| teleop | 20 | 52 |
| endgame | 2 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 32 | 92 |
Result
Final score
32 – 92
Prediction missed · off by 30.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable