Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.64 – 142.73

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 112

Prediction missed · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.8 ±42.9

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX -6.71Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -11.16Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 157.8Event APEX 109.33Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 9.4 ±57.6

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 18.84Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 104.86Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 9.4Event APEX 31.56Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7128, 9991, 5584

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7128, 9991, 5584

Auto

23.4 22%

Teleop

63.9 61%

Endgame

16.9 16%

Strengths

· 5584 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9996, 9986, 5876

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.3 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9996, 9986, 5876

Auto

27.4 19%

Teleop

77.8 54%

Endgame

37.9 26%

Strengths

· 9986 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score91.5pts

Blue projected score155.3pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.1
Score range: 78–161
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 98.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.8Season APEX9.4

23.4Auto27.4

63.9Teleop77.8

16.9Endgame37.9

92Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	24
teleop	90	27
endgame	58	61
foul	0	0
total	175	112

Result

Final score

175 – 112

Prediction missed · off by 55 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable