Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.13 – 44.19

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

24 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.63Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.07Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.18Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 9.4 ±57.6

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.1Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 9.4Event APEX 19.12Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.16Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 9980, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 9980, 9995

Auto

11.6 24%

Teleop

20.9 43%

Endgame

16.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 5876, 9998

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 5876, 9998

Auto

15.6 43%

Teleop

7.8 21%

Endgame

13.3 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score35.4pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.9
Score range: 26–77
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 41 vs event baseline 102.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX9.4

11.6Auto15.6

20.9Teleop7.8

16.3Endgame13.3

6Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	11
teleop	9	6
endgame	5	0
foul	0	0
total	24	17

Result

Final score

24 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable