Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.16 – 61.6

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.8 ±57.4

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.32Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.7Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 157.8Event APEX 99.05Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 18 ±57.8

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.17Rank 12Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.81Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 18Event APEX -0.57Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 9976, 5584

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.1 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 9976, 5584

Auto

25.8 19%

Teleop

85.2 62%

Endgame

27.5 20%

Strengths

· 5584 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9993, 9980, 10437

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9993, 9980, 10437

Auto

6.7 14%

Teleop

18.5 38%

Endgame

24.1 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score139.1pts

Blue projected score53.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.6
Score range: 45–148
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 96.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.8Season APEX18

25.8Auto6.7

85.2Teleop18.5

27.5Endgame24.1

107Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	23
teleop	127	54
endgame	53	43
foul	0	5
total	215	125

Result

Final score

215 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 73.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable