Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.2 – 68.29

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 92.7 ±18.6

11130Totally Clucked Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 14.34Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 66.16Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 9.4Event APEX 22.12Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 31.5 ±42.9

9189Disastrous Data

Provisional

Season APEX 3.3Event APEX 15.78Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10552Mazenod Machinists

Season APEX 28.2Event APEX 31.79Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.88Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11130, 6996, 5876

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.6 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11130, 6996, 5876

Auto

25.7 27%

Teleop

34.2 36%

Endgame

34.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9189, 10552, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9189, 10552, 9995

Auto

16.0 31%

Teleop

30.6 59%

Endgame

5.4 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.62 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score102.6pts

Blue projected score60.5pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.9
Score range: 51–119
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 96.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

92.7Season APEX31.5

25.7Auto16

34.2Teleop30.6

34.6Endgame5.4

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	10
teleop	71	3
endgame	33	4
foul	5	0
total	144	17

Result

Final score

144 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable