Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.11 – 52.6

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.6 ±42.9

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 157.8Event APEX 100.33Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11130Totally Clucked Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 22.17Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 7 ±57.8

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.73Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX 5.6Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.06Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5584, 11130, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5584, 11130, 9992

Auto

33.6 23%

Teleop

80.8 55%

Endgame

32.0 22%

Strengths

· 5584 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9996, 7128, 9976

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.4 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9996, 7128, 9976

Auto

11.6 26%

Teleop

28.2 64%

Endgame

4.1 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score146.5pts

Blue projected score36.4pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 82.5
Score range: 36–152
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 96.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.6Season APEX7

33.6Auto11.6

80.8Teleop28.2

32Endgame4.1

84Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	4
teleop	79	9
endgame	26	5
foul	0	0
total	127	18

Result

Final score

127 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable