Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

62.99 – 39.4

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 90.3 ±19.2

11130Totally Clucked Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 11.44Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 7Event APEX -9.32Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 46.36Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 18 ±57.8

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.36Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 18Event APEX -3.84Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.05Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11130, 7128, 6996

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11130, 7128, 6996

Auto

17.1 36%

Teleop

19.0 40%

Endgame

11.5 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9998, 10437, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9998, 10437, 9992

Auto

3.1 23%

Teleop

-4.0 0%

Endgame

14.1 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score48.5pts

Blue projected score13.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.6
Score range: 22–80
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 95.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

90.3Season APEX18

17.1Auto3.1

19Teleop-4

11.5Endgame14.1

45Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	17
teleop	61	21
endgame	43	13
foul	0	0
total	134	51

Result

Final score

134 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable