Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.72 – 140.26

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 71.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 29.5 ±57.8

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.46Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7583Embers

Provisional

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX 15.71Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.11Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 101.1 ±42.5

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 80.42Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9146Burnouts

Provisional

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 24.07Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 60.52Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 7583, 9976

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 7583, 9976

Auto

13.9 34%

Teleop

18.8 47%

Endgame

7.7 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9986, 9146, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

165 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9986, 9146, 10002

Auto

30.1 18%

Teleop

90.1 55%

Endgame

43.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score37.3pts

Blue projected score165pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.5
Score range: 39–156
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 91.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

29.5Season APEX101.1

13.9Auto30.1

18.8Teleop90.1

7.7Endgame43.2

69Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	28
teleop	29	153
endgame	5	62
foul	0	35
total	49	278

Result

Final score

49 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 71.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable