Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
68.57 – 81.6
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
164 – 92
Prediction missed · off by 52.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 44.8 ±43.5
10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)
Provisional
Season APEX 18Event APEX -19.29Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 0Event APEX 69.46Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
11130Totally Clucked Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 9.18Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 35.6 ±43.2
Season APEX 9.4Event APEX 27.65Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
9146Burnouts
Provisional
Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 30.04Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.75Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10437, 9986, 11130
55
/ 100 compatProjected
59.4 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10437, 9986, 11130
Auto
16.4 35%
Teleop
19.9 43%
Endgame
9.9 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5876, 9146, 9992
54
/ 100 compatProjected
75.4 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5876, 9146, 9992
Auto
22.3 29%
Teleop
29.2 39%
Endgame
24.1 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score59.4pts
Blue projected score75.4pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample118alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -13
- Score range
- 53–98
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-25
- Model
- apex-0.5.1
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
44.8Season APEX35.6
16.4Auto22.3
19.9Teleop29.2
9.9Endgame24.1
163Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 23 |
| teleop | 83 | 39 |
| endgame | 60 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 164 | 92 |
Result
Final score
164 – 92
Prediction missed · off by 52.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable