Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

71.78 – 40.78

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

99 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 56.5 ±57.3

9976Off-Season Demo Team 9976

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.47Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.27Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 42.75Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 26.8 ±57.8

11130Totally Clucked Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 26.8Event APEX 3.38Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.59Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.39Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9976, 9991, 6996

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.5 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9976, 9991, 6996

Auto

10.3 19%

Teleop

21.3 39%

Endgame

23.4 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11130, 9995, 9996

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.4 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11130, 9995, 9996

Auto

10.7 0%

Teleop

-13.3 100%

Endgame

0.5 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score59.5pts

Blue projected score12.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31
Score range: 25–88
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-25
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 87.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

56.5Season APEX26.8

10.3Auto10.7

21.3Teleop-13.3

23.4Endgame0.5

154Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	16
teleop	53	24
endgame	22	3
foul	0	0
total	99	43

Result

Final score

99 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable