Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
58.66 – 46.48
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
32 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 14.6 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 34.8 ±43.2
Season APEX 16.8Event APEX 33.08Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77
10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)
Provisional
Season APEX 18Event APEX -9.14Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 0Event APEX -2.02Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.93Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.32Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5648, 10437, 9991
20
/ 100 compatProjected
21.9 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5648, 10437, 9991
Auto
20.5 69%
Teleop
12.4 42%
Endgame
-3.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9998, 9976, 9995
8
/ 100 compatProjected
1.8 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9998, 9976, 9995
Auto
5.1 0%
Teleop
-7.1 100%
Endgame
0.0 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score21.9pts
Blue projected score1.8pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample118alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 19%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 12.2
- Score range
- 30–75
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-25
- Model
- apex-0.5.1
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
34.8Season APEX0
20.5Auto5.1
12.4Teleop-7.1
-3.2Endgame0
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 7 |
| teleop | 17 | 22 |
| endgame | 10 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 32 | 44 |
Result
Final score
32 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 14.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable