Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.04 – 183.74

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 125

Prediction missed · off by 39.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 32.1 ±57.6

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 28.8Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 105Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.24Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.5 ±42.2

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.86Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 112.08Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6996Koalafied

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 66.8Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9147, 9986, 9998

/ 100 compat

Projected

142 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9147, 9986, 9998

Auto

20.5 15%

Teleop

71.5 52%

Endgame

44.8 33%

Strengths

· 9986 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 5584, 6996

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.7 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 5584, 6996

Auto

43.2 24%

Teleop

93.6 52%

Endgame

42.0 23%

Strengths

· 5584 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score142pts

Blue projected score183.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample118alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.7
Score range: 124–202
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 101.8.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

32.1Season APEX278.5

20.5Auto43.2

71.5Teleop93.6

44.8Endgame42

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	40
teleop	57	45
endgame	62	30
foul	5	10
total	162	125

Result

Final score

162 – 125

Prediction missed · off by 39.4 pts