Qualification · Qualification 99

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

256.5 – 205.01

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.4 ±11

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 40.56Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 119.11Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 96.83Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 706.1 ±9.3

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -12.5Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 175.5Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 42.01Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8728, 3940, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.5 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8728, 3940, 117

Auto

54.3 22%

Teleop

147.2 59%

Endgame

48.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 92%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3492, 2539, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

205 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3492, 2539, 1629

Auto

48.3 24%

Teleop

109.7 55%

Endgame

40.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 92%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.41 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score256.5pts

Blue projected score205pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 92%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.5
Score range: 164–298
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 226.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546.4Season APEX706.1

54.3Auto48.3

147.2Teleop109.7

48.9Endgame40.5

25Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	60
teleop	115	88
endgame	95	22
foul	0	5
total	265	175

Result

Final score

265 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable