Qualification · Qualification 98

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

274.35 – 149

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.4 ±12.1

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 30.24Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 59.18Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 184.93Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±12.9

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 98.26Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 13.71Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 37.03Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 611, 7515, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 611, 7515, 1325

Auto

52.6 19%

Teleop

148.2 53%

Endgame

80.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4467, 1111, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 1111, 1086

Auto

41.1 28%

Teleop

78.8 53%

Endgame

27.8 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.6 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score274.4pts

Blue projected score149pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 82%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.4
Score range: 108–315
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 226.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

462.4Season APEX406.1

52.6Auto41.1

148.2Teleop78.8

80.8Endgame27.8

16Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	17
teleop	162	130
endgame	35	50
foul	0	0
total	268	197

Result

Final score

268 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable