Qualification · Qualification 97

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

299.88 – 489.74

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

340 – 575

Prediction correct · off by 62.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 722 ±10.7

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 105.91Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 161.66Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 32.31Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 760.7 ±11

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 6.2Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 281.42Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 202.12Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 346, 195, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 346, 195, 10011

Auto

61.6 20%

Teleop

157.3 51%

Endgame

86.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 93%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3260, 27, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

489.7 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3260, 27, 10021

Auto

81.9 17%

Teleop

279.0 57%

Endgame

129.3 26%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 93%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.26 · Blue 3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score299.9pts

Blue projected score489.7pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 93%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -189.9
Score range: 260–530
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 915 vs event baseline 224.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

722Season APEX760.7

61.6Auto81.9

157.3Teleop279

86.6Endgame129.3

32Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	55
teleop	189	337
endgame	56	173
foul	0	10
total	340	575

Result

Final score

340 – 575

Prediction correct · off by 62.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable