Qualification · Qualification 95

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

235.88 – 249.46

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 212

Prediction missed · off by 87.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.9 ±11.7

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 33.99Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 33.95Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 167.94Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410.7 ±11.9

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 64.91Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 61.92Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 122.63Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5740, 8728, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.9 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5740, 8728, 2539

Auto

62.7 27%

Teleop

119.4 52%

Endgame

47.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7515, 1533, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.5 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 1533, 3940

Auto

37.4 15%

Teleop

152.8 61%

Endgame

59.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.02 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score235.9pts

Blue projected score249.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 86%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.6
Score range: 196–289
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 224.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.9Season APEX410.7

62.7Auto37.4

119.4Teleop152.8

47.4Endgame59.2

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	22
teleop	219	129
endgame	71	61
foul	10	0
total	373	212

Result

Final score

373 – 212

Prediction missed · off by 87.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable