Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

362.16 – 330.04

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

399 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 791.2 ±9.5

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 282.68Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 39.43Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 40.05Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611.2 ±10.7

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 206.45Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 28.34Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 95.25Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 5811, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.2 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 5811, 1629

Auto

61.4 17%

Teleop

195.8 55%

Endgame

99.3 28%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 2614, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

330 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 2614, 48

Auto

63.9 19%

Teleop

188.5 57%

Endgame

76.3 23%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.21 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score362.2pts

Blue projected score330pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 87%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.1
Score range: 290–402
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 637 vs event baseline 223.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

791.2Season APEX611.2

61.4Auto63.9

195.8Teleop188.5

99.3Endgame76.3

1Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	43
teleop	224	135
endgame	67	60
foul	15	0
total	399	238

Result

Final score

399 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable