Qualification · Qualification 90

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.78 – 117.4

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.7 ±12.4

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 32.18Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 169.87Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 41.73Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.8 ±12.9

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -5.16Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 29.2Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 93.36Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10011, 2539, 1466

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.8 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10011, 2539, 1466

Auto

62.2 26%

Teleop

126.5 52%

Endgame

54.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 620, 8728, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 620, 8728, 4467

Auto

21.5 19%

Teleop

71.8 62%

Endgame

22.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.66 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score243.8pts

Blue projected score117.4pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 86%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.4
Score range: 77–284
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 223.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.7Season APEX417.8

62.2Auto21.5

126.5Teleop71.8

54.2Endgame22.6

6Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	58
teleop	130	86
endgame	66	54
foul	0	5
total	241	203

Result

Final score

241 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable