Qualification · Qualification 89

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

166.49 – 297.22

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 477.8 ±13.7

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 104.04Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 60.66Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 1.79Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 562.9 ±12.4

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 38.25Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 205.58Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 53.39Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 346, 7515, 3260

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 346, 7515, 3260

Auto

34.2 20%

Teleop

96.1 56%

Endgame

42.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5811, 10021, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

297.2 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5811, 10021, 4265

Auto

68.2 23%

Teleop

169.0 56%

Endgame

65.9 22%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score166.5pts

Blue projected score297.2pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.7
Score range: 126–337
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 579 vs event baseline 222.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

477.8Season APEX562.9

34.2Auto68.2

96.1Teleop169

42.2Endgame65.9

29Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	58
teleop	91	146
endgame	92	137
foul	0	15
total	223	356

Result

Final score

223 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable