Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.33 – 158.12

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

308 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.4 ±9.9

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 60.58Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 160Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 29.75Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.4 ±9.8

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 61.1Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 61.73Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 35.29Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1533, 195, 611

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.3 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1533, 195, 611

Auto

43.5 18%

Teleop

137.0 56%

Endgame

64.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1262, 5338, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.1 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1262, 5338, 1086

Auto

33.3 22%

Teleop

81.9 54%

Endgame

36.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score250.3pts

Blue projected score158.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 85%, blue 82%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.2
Score range: 118–290
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 448 vs event baseline 222.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.4Season APEX501.4

43.5Auto33.3

137Teleop81.9

64.7Endgame36.7

35Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	57
teleop	178	73
endgame	69	10
foul	0	0
total	308	140

Result

Final score

308 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable