Qualification · Qualification 87
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
494.11 – 173.43
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
599 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 92.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 779.5 ±9
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 42.1Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 174.92Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 277.09Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 551.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -2.99Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 47.86Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 128.56Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6239, 1325, 27
80
/ 100 compatProjected
494.1 pts
~3.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6239, 1325, 27
Auto
77.8 16%
Teleop
291.9 59%
Endgame
124.1 25%
Strengths
- · 27 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 88%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3492, 1629, 3940
53
/ 100 compatProjected
173.4 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3492, 1629, 3940
Auto
30.7 19%
Teleop
86.6 53%
Endgame
46.0 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 88%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.17 · Blue 0.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score494.1pts
Blue projected score173.4pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 88%, blue 78%
Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 320.7
- Score range
- 133–534
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
779.5Season APEX551.4
77.8Auto30.7
291.9Teleop86.6
124.1Endgame46
14Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 65 | 18 |
| teleop | 297 | 70 |
| endgame | 237 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 599 | 93 |
Result
Final score
599 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 92.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable