Qualification · Qualification 86

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.44 – 137.59

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 178

Prediction missed · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.8 ±11.7

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 20.84Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 30.13Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 96.47Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 505.4 ±12.2

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 5.89Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 36.34Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 95.36Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9121, 2614, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.4 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 2614, 48

Auto

27.8 20%

Teleop

71.1 52%

Endgame

38.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1111, 5740, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.6 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1111, 5740, 117

Auto

48.8 38%

Teleop

55.2 43%

Endgame

23.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score147.4pts

Blue projected score137.6pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.8
Score range: 98–187
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 221.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.8Season APEX505.4

27.8Auto48.8

71.1Teleop55.2

38.8Endgame23.9

5Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	38
teleop	75	81
endgame	59	59
foul	0	0
total	152	178

Result

Final score

152 – 178

Prediction missed · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable