Qualification · Qualification 85

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

181.07 – 104.82

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

129 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.9 ±11.1

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 40.76Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 33.03Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 107.28Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331 ±13.5

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 1.68Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 42.13Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 61.01Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5811, 611, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5811, 611, 346

Auto

37.2 20%

Teleop

96.1 52%

Endgame

52.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3260, 1466, 1262

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3260, 1466, 1262

Auto

28.4 30%

Teleop

49.5 52%

Endgame

16.6 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.36 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score181.1pts

Blue projected score104.8pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.3
Score range: 65–221
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 223.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.9Season APEX331

37.2Auto28.4

96.1Teleop49.5

52.5Endgame16.6

14Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	24
teleop	62	48
endgame	21	33
foul	0	5
total	129	110

Result

Final score

129 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable