Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

223.88 – 341.54

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 500

Prediction correct · off by 144.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.6 ±10.5

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 182.08Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 5.62Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 36.18Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 747.9 ±8.8

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 24.24Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 152.25Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 165.05Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 3492, 8728

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2539, 3492, 8728

Auto

47.4 22%

Teleop

126.4 59%

Endgame

41.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1086, 195, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.5 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1086, 195, 1325

Auto

77.4 22%

Teleop

194.3 56%

Endgame

76.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.43 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score223.9pts

Blue projected score341.5pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -117.7
Score range: 184–382
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 593 vs event baseline 222.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616.6Season APEX747.9

47.4Auto77.4

126.4Teleop194.3

41Endgame76.6

8Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	66
teleop	34	287
endgame	31	142
foul	5	5
total	93	500

Result

Final score

93 – 500

Prediction correct · off by 144.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable