Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.56 – 360.91

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

269 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 91.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508.8 ±10.7

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 91.17Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 54.33Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 29.06Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.2 ±12.4

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 97.5Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 214.27Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 49.14Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 48, 1533, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.6 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 48, 1533, 10011

Auto

21.7 12%

Teleop

105.5 59%

Endgame

51.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 89%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4467, 10021, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 10021, 6239

Auto

76.1 21%

Teleop

211.6 59%

Endgame

71.8 20%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 89%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score174.6pts

Blue projected score360.9pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 89%, blue 85%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -186.4
Score range: 135–401
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 220.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508.8Season APEX544.2

21.7Auto76.1

105.5Teleop211.6

51.7Endgame71.8

3Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	60
teleop	126	136
endgame	79	76
foul	15	0
total	269	272

Result

Final score

269 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 91.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable