Qualification · Qualification 81

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.76 – 152.26

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.2 ±9.8

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 132.95Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -3.7Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 58.51Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353 ±12.4

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 58.02Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 66.08Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 28.16Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3940, 620, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.8 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 620, 5338

Auto

19.1 10%

Teleop

111.2 60%

Endgame

54.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1629, 7515, 9121

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.3 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1629, 7515, 9121

Auto

35.6 24%

Teleop

61.8 42%

Endgame

48.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score187.8pts

Blue projected score152.3pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.5
Score range: 112–228
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 222.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.2Season APEX353

19.1Auto35.6

111.2Teleop61.8

54.6Endgame48.3

2Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	7
teleop	113	8
endgame	48	1
foul	0	5
total	177	21

Result

Final score

177 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable