Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

386.59 – 45.51

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

331 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.8 ±9.5

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 32.16Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 168.65Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 185.78Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.9 ±11.6

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 49.48Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX -1.49Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -2.48Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9121, 1325, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.6 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 1325, 2539

Auto

75.0 19%

Teleop

221.4 57%

Endgame

93.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6239, 1111, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6239, 1111, 620

Auto

7.0 19%

Teleop

27.8 76%

Endgame

2.0 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.07 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score386.6pts

Blue projected score45.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 86%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 341.1
Score range: 6–427
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 224.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

642.8Season APEX248.9

75Auto7

221.4Teleop27.8

93.2Endgame2

0Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	18
teleop	201	20
endgame	62	5
foul	5	0
total	331	43

Result

Final score

331 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable