Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

276.35 – 455.24

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

168 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 104.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.4 ±11.4

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 61.58Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 110.74Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 104.03Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 672.1 ±10

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 42.67Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 273.31Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 139.26Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1629, 346, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1629, 346, 4467

Auto

52.1 19%

Teleop

154.1 55%

Endgame

75.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8728, 27, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

455.2 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8728, 27, 3940

Auto

68.4 15%

Teleop

248.3 56%

Endgame

129.3 29%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.13 · Blue 3.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score276.4pts

Blue projected score455.2pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 82%, blue 94%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.9
Score range: 236–495
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 522 vs event baseline 223.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

699.4Season APEX672.1

52.1Auto68.4

154.1Teleop248.3

75.3Endgame129.3

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	38
teleop	88	273
endgame	37	43
foul	0	0
total	168	354

Result

Final score

168 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 104.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable