Qualification · Qualification 75
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
124.27 – 268.17
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 377
Prediction correct · off by 98 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 36.58Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 36.59Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 51.1Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 689.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 80.2Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -9.97Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 283Event APEX 197.94Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2614, 1086, 1466
36
/ 100 compatProjected
124.3 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2614, 1086, 1466
Auto
53.9 48%
Teleop
46.6 41%
Endgame
11.9 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 48, 3492, 10021
68
/ 100 compatProjected
268.2 pts
~2.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 48, 3492, 10021
Auto
41.1 15%
Teleop
155.8 58%
Endgame
73.7 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score124.3pts
Blue projected score268.2pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 75%, blue 87%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -143.9
- Score range
- 84–308
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
372.4Season APEX689.5
53.9Auto41.1
46.6Teleop155.8
11.9Endgame73.7
27Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 65 |
| teleop | 17 | 231 |
| endgame | 11 | 76 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 37 | 377 |
Result
Final score
37 – 377
Prediction correct · off by 98 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable