Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.11 – 275.9

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.3 ±10.5

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 30.88Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -3Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 52.23Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584.9 ±12.4

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 72.8Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 177.01Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 26.09Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 611, 620, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.1 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 611, 620, 5338

Auto

1.0 1%

Teleop

49.7 66%

Endgame

24.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7515, 2539, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 2539, 5811

Auto

74.8 27%

Teleop

143.1 52%

Endgame

58.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score80.1pts

Blue projected score275.9pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.8
Score range: 40–316
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 223.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

390.3Season APEX584.9

1Auto74.8

49.7Teleop143.1

24.3Endgame58.7

10Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	56
teleop	17	257
endgame	45	70
foul	0	0
total	82	383

Result

Final score

82 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable