Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.59 – 210.9

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

441 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 59.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.6 ±12.1

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 46.25Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 269.89Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 40.45Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.5 ±10.5

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 33.83Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 63.53Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 113.54Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4265, 27, 8728

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.6 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4265, 27, 8728

Auto

57.7 16%

Teleop

186.7 53%

Endgame

108.2 31%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 92%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9121, 1262, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.9 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 1262, 346

Auto

40.1 19%

Teleop

114.1 55%

Endgame

55.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 92%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.9 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score356.6pts

Blue projected score210.9pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 92%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 145.7
Score range: 171–397
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 617 vs event baseline 222.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.6Season APEX434.5

57.7Auto40.1

186.7Teleop114.1

108.2Endgame55.1

29Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	13
teleop	277	82
endgame	101	76
foul	0	5
total	441	176

Result

Final score

441 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 59.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable