Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

155.66 – 477.16

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.4 ±12.2

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 47.31Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 15.6Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 92.75Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 761.9 ±8.8

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 144.31Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 174.79Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 158.06Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6239, 10011, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6239, 10011, 117

Auto

46.0 30%

Teleop

85.6 56%

Endgame

21.1 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3940, 1325, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

477.2 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 1325, 195

Auto

76.9 16%

Teleop

270.2 56%

Endgame

132.1 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 3.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score155.7pts

Blue projected score477.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 85%, blue 94%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -321.5
Score range: 116–517
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 605 vs event baseline 221.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.4Season APEX761.9

46Auto76.9

85.6Teleop270.2

21.1Endgame132.1

19Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	98
teleop	91	248
endgame	37	70
foul	10	0
total	189	416

Result

Final score

189 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable