Qualification · Qualification 71
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
49.96 – 222.11
11%89%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
57 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 73.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 382 ±12.4
Season APEX 81.8Event APEX -5.63Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -2.55Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 58.14Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.6 ±13
Season APEX 157Event APEX 57.68Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 114.11Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 50.32Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1111, 3260, 1629
33
/ 100 compatProjected
50 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1111, 3260, 1629
Auto
9.1 22%
Teleop
22.3 54%
Endgame
10.2 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1533, 4467, 5740
64
/ 100 compatProjected
222.1 pts
~2.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1533, 4467, 5740
Auto
53.8 24%
Teleop
116.2 51%
Endgame
56.2 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score50pts
Blue projected score222.1pts
Red win probability11%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 80%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -172.1
- Score range
- 10–262
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
382Season APEX501.6
9.1Auto53.8
22.3Teleop116.2
10.2Endgame56.2
23Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 7 |
| teleop | 20 | 56 |
| endgame | 11 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 57 | 82 |
Result
Final score
57 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 73.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable