Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

197.12 – 118.51

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

524 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 165.7 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 634.1 ±12.7

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 66.35Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 104.86Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 25.91Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.3 ±11.9

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 85.4Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 22.57Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 10.54Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7515, 27, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.1 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 27, 10011

Auto

24.7 13%

Teleop

109.4 59%

Endgame

52.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 346, 3260, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 346, 3260, 620

Auto

19.4 16%

Teleop

79.0 64%

Endgame

24.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.51 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score197.1pts

Blue projected score118.5pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 88%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.6
Score range: 85–231
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 638 vs event baseline 190.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

634.1Season APEX468.3

24.7Auto19.4

109.4Teleop79

52.3Endgame24.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	16
teleop	273	75
endgame	157	23
foul	0	0
total	524	114

Result

Final score

524 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 165.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable