Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

312.99 – 105.48

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

345 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 715.9 ±10.8

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 171.64Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 91.14Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 50.21Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.4 ±13.9

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 17.6Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 45.03Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 42.85Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 117, 1466

/ 100 compat

Projected

313 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 117, 1466

Auto

66.7 21%

Teleop

179.9 58%

Endgame

64.9 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10011, 6239, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10011, 6239, 4265

Auto

32.6 30%

Teleop

44.8 41%

Endgame

30.8 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.9 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score313pts

Blue projected score105.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 85%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 207.5
Score range: 65–353
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 483 vs event baseline 220.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

715.9Season APEX304.4

66.7Auto32.6

179.9Teleop44.8

64.9Endgame30.8

4Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	22
teleop	181	87
endgame	61	29
foul	0	0
total	345	138

Result

Final score

345 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable