Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
192.45 – 24.57
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
174 – 40
Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 497 ±13.4
Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 117.87Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 45.8Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 28.78Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 34Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -1.23Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -8.2Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4467, 8728, 5811
60
/ 100 compatProjected
192.5 pts
~2.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4467, 8728, 5811
Auto
47.1 25%
Teleop
90.0 48%
Endgame
52.1 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 84%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1086, 3260, 3492
6
/ 100 compatProjected
24.6 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1086, 3260, 3492
Auto
16.5 100%
Teleop
2.3 16%
Endgame
-4.6 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 84%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.75 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score192.5pts
Blue projected score24.6pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 84%, blue 74%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 167.9
- Score range
- -15–232
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
497Season APEX400.4
47.1Auto16.5
90Teleop2.3
52.1Endgame-4.6
39Consistency26
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 16 |
| teleop | 95 | 6 |
| endgame | 21 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 174 | 40 |
Result
Final score
174 – 40
Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable