Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.01 – 104.36

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

305 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.7 ±11.2

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 139.28Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 49.92Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 78.81Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 505.3 ±9.3

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -4.74Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 48.2Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 60.9Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3940, 5740, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

268 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 5740, 48

Auto

48.9 19%

Teleop

131.2 50%

Endgame

81.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 89%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 620, 5338, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 620, 5338, 1533

Auto

-0.3 0%

Teleop

76.2 71%

Endgame

32.0 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 89%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.83 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score268pts

Blue projected score104.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 89%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163.6
Score range: 64–308
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 222.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.7Season APEX505.3

48.9Auto-0.3

131.2Teleop76.2

81.9Endgame32

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	13
teleop	161	60
endgame	74	36
foul	5	5
total	305	114

Result

Final score

305 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable