Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.31 – 411.65

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

193 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.8 ±12.4

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 15.75Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 163.31Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -4.75Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 727.8 ±10.2

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 205.43Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 29.08Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 177.14Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9121, 2539, 3260

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 2539, 3260

Auto

54.7 31%

Teleop

105.6 60%

Endgame

16.1 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 10011, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.7 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 10011, 1325

Auto

74.9 17%

Teleop

248.1 57%

Endgame

112.7 26%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.06 · Blue 3.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score174.3pts

Blue projected score411.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 93%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -237.3
Score range: 134–452
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 222.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.8Season APEX727.8

54.7Auto74.9

105.6Teleop248.1

16.1Endgame112.7

22Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	69
teleop	86	152
endgame	63	64
foul	30	0
total	193	285

Result

Final score

193 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable