Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

129.25 – 181.11

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

52 – 43

Prediction missed · off by 107.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253 ±13.9

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 33.04Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 48.94Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 47.27Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.1 ±12.9

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 57.87Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 1.95Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 121.29Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2614, 611, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2614, 611, 4265

Auto

34.4 28%

Teleop

58.8 48%

Endgame

30.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6239, 3492, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6239, 3492, 4467

Auto

39.8 24%

Teleop

89.8 54%

Endgame

37.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.55 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score129.3pts

Blue projected score181.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.9
Score range: 88–222
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 225.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253Season APEX447.1

34.4Auto39.8

58.8Teleop89.8

30.4Endgame37.6

42Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	18
teleop	31	13
endgame	9	12
foul	0	0
total	52	43

Result

Final score

52 – 43

Prediction missed · off by 107.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable