Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

211.64 – 282.58

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 98.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 641.6 ±10.5

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 99.8Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 107.79Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 4.05Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561.4 ±13

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 52.73Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 163.48Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 66.37Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 117, 346, 1111

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.6 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 117, 346, 1111

Auto

40.2 19%

Teleop

140.6 65%

Endgame

34.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5740, 195, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.6 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5740, 195, 7515

Auto

80.7 29%

Teleop

123.1 45%

Endgame

72.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score211.6pts

Blue projected score282.6pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.9
Score range: 171–324
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 226.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

641.6Season APEX561.4

40.2Auto80.7

140.6Teleop123.1

34.9Endgame72

14Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	43
teleop	36	107
endgame	11	73
foul	0	0
total	74	223

Result

Final score

74 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 98.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable