Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.6 – 237.76

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 309

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±12.7

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 23.41Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 11.18Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 51.01Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454 ±12.4

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 79.19Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 44Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 114.57Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10011, 9121, 8728

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10011, 9121, 8728

Auto

27.6 33%

Teleop

30.2 36%

Endgame

26.1 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 48, 611, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.8 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 48, 611, 4467

Auto

37.2 16%

Teleop

127.6 55%

Endgame

66.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score85.6pts

Blue projected score237.8pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 85%, blue 87%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -152.2
Score range: 45–279
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 394 vs event baseline 229.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.9Season APEX454

27.6Auto37.2

30.2Teleop127.6

26.1Endgame66.9

32Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	20
teleop	35	206
endgame	29	83
foul	0	0
total	85	309

Result

Final score

85 – 309

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable